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Может, кому-то интеренсно мнение опытного аналитик



Написано Mog | Mon, Apr 3 at 11:23pm:

SF#: 57-00, April 3, 2000
(Last sent: 3/31/00)

COMMENTARY:

As you know this was the worst single-day decline in the history of the
NASDAQ Composite Index, closing with a loss of 349 points, slightly off the
low when it was down over 380 points.

Simultaneously, investors could not get enough of the "old economy" stocks
and the Dow Jones Industrials closed with a gain of over 300 points.

Today's debacle in the NASDAQ was attributed to the breakup of negotiations
between Microsoft and the Government. Professionals feared the worst in the
judge's ruling to come out after the close of the market. They were right,
as the judge ruled strongly against Microsoft which leaves open the
possibility of a breakup of the company.

But a strong market would have accepted this news as bad for just one
company, without effecting everything else. Such a negative reaction to a
singular company event shows that the market is very weak. Today the NASDAQ
had every opportunity to rally strongly as a follow-through to Friday.
Because it didn't, we must consider that the NASDAQ is now in a bear market.

However, even bear markets have rallies. The NASDAQ closed slightly above
the 4,200 area, which means we're getting closer to solid support. It's now
only a little more than 3% away from a 20% decline. Today was another
liquidation panic, just worse than the last one we saw only a few days ago.

However, as a precaution, I recommend that you close out all long positions
you may have based on my recommendations under the following circumstance
tomorrow:

If the NASDAQ Composite is down more than 106 points 45 minutes before the
close of the market, sell all positions.

Tomorrow you will get my full assessment of the individual positions, should
we still have any. Under normal circumstances the market should rally
tomorrow now that the Microsoft news is out. After all, there's more to the
markets and to life than Microsoft. However, we must consider the
possibility that the market is going into crash mode where no technical
indicators work and where all support levels are penetrated without
hesitation. Therefore my fail-safe stop recommendation given above. Believe
me, this decline has little to do with Microsoft, and much more to do with
the fools at the Federal Reserve.


Все ответы
Может, кому-то интеренсно мнение опытного аналитик - Mog on Mon, Apr 3 at 11:23pm
  Re: Может, кому-то интеренсно мнение опытного аналитик - Morrgan on Thu, Apr 6 at 05:47am


 




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